What does the future of the Islamic economy look like?
WHAT IS ISLAMIC BANKING AND WHERE IS IT HEADED?
As old as the religion itself, Islamic banking has reached new levels of maturity in the past fifty years.
It is forecast to be worth 3 trillion dollars by 2021 with Malaysia, Saudi Arabia and the UAE currently leading the market.
Despite being one of the fastest growing banking sectors, Islamic finance is still relatively small compared to the global industry, and since 2014 it has seen a decrease in its growth rate.
Sukuks, or Islamic bonds, currently make up less than one percent of the world’s bond market, despite some analysts believing that they provide less volatility than conventional bonds and a higher return.
“Emerging market US dollar bonds’ year-to-date to return has actually been a loss of 3.8%,” says Anita Yadav of the bank Emirates NBD, “Whereas if we consolidate all emerging sukuk markets, the return of them has only been a loss of 2.09% – so it’s less of a loss,”
Experts believe that the introduction of industry-wide regulation could help encourage new players to enter the market and boost investment in the segment.
“If you allow individual institutions to go by their own book of rules you will have a hodgepodge, and it would be very difficult to clean up that mess,” predicts Sharia advisor Kamran Sherwani, “Sooner or later you will find more standardization and new, innovative products.”
The International Monetary Fund has stated that, in the coming months, it plans to roll out regulations and guidelines for the industry, which is now active in more than 60 countries worldwide.
Emirates NBD forecasts that investor appetite for corporate and sovereign Islamic bonds will remain strong, and that more issuances will be seen in the next six to twelve months.
Islamic banking is one of the fastest banking growing sectors
DUBAI’S EFFORTS TO BECOME THE GLOBAL HUB FOR ISLAMIC ECONOMY
The growth and development of the Islamic economy is a key pillar in Dubai’s post-oil economic vision.
The emirate aims to become a global hub for the Islamic economy by boosting what it calls ‘responsible investment’ in the industry, as well as halal entrepreneurship and innovation.
Global spending in the Islamic Economy food and lifestyle sector alone is forecast to reach $3 trillion by 2022, meaning that meeting its objectives could be a very profitable endeavor for the emirate.
In 2016, the Islamic economy contributed around 8.3% to Dubai’s GDP. This number is set to rise in the coming years, according to His Excellency Abdulla Al Awar, CEO of the Dubai Islamic Economy Development Centre.
Al Awar highlights the fact that since 2013, when efforts to encourage the listing of Islamic bonds were put in place, Dubai has risen from a ranking of third to first place in the global market.
Euronews’ Rebecca McLaughlin-Duane interviews His Excellency Abdulla Al Awar, CEO of the Dubai Islamic Economy Development Centre
Kuala Lumpur and London are two other cities that are considered respected providers of Islamic financial products and services.
Far from seeing this as a threat, Al Awar believes that such competition is an important drive for Dubai to achieve its global hub status.
“If there wasn’t any competition I don’t think Dubai would have achieved where we are,” he says, adding that Dubai’s geographical position is also a strategic advantage.
“It’s in the middle of a very dense economical, region,” says Al Awar, “I’m not referring only to the GCC or the Middle East. I’m referring to around 42 countries, including the Middle East, North Africa, South Asia.”
The head of the DIEDC further emphasizes that the worldwide contribution to the Islamic economy is not limited to the Muslim community, pointing to consumers globally in 2016 spending more than $2 trillion on Sharia-compliant products.
Looking to the future, and emerging financial technologies, Dubai is also directing its strategy towards the next generation of innovators and business leaders.
“We are actually enabling millennials and entrepreneurs, and various SMEs, to contribute to the economy by their ideas – the technologies,” says Al Awar, “This is why some of our initiatives are actually directly geared towards them – we have the Fintech sector, for example.”